Albacete 2-2 Real Oviedo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.62
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.48
6+ Goals
9%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.64
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
16%
5.18
X/2
11%
5.83
X/X
12%
3.85
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
15%
4.32
2/X
7%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albacete EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.58/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.13
-5% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
22.2 Crosses 19.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albacete
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Real Oviedo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.89 xG 1.06
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
293 Passes 289
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Albacete Albacete 1-2 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
13.10.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 3-0 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
26.02.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-1 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
15.10.2022 Albacete Albacete 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
30.01.2021 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-1 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
03.10.2020 Albacete Albacete 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albacete
2-2
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.36 xG 0.78
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
261 Passes 322
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Albacete vs Real Oviedo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albacete and Real Oviedo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Albacete had 47% of the ball to Real Oviedo's 53%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 1.36 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Albacete and 1.17 for Real Oviedo.

What was the final score of Albacete vs Real Oviedo?

Albacete 2-2 Real Oviedo in the Spain - 2nd Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albacete vs Real Oviedo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albacete win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Albacete 38%, draw 28%, Real Oviedo 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Albacete), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Albacete) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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