Nürnberg (K) 1-2 Köln (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
49%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.15
Over 2.5
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.61
No
39%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+3.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-2.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.8pp
39%
BTTS No
42%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +31%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
Crosses 12.1
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Köln (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.15 xG 2.36
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 9
114 Passes 318
48% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.10.2025 Köln (K) Köln (K) 3-0 HT 3-0 Nürnberg (K) Nürnberg (K) ALKB
23.03.2024 Köln (K) Köln (K) 3-4 HT 0-1 Nürnberg (K) Nürnberg (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nürnberg (K)
1-2
AWAY Köln (K)
0.49 xG 1.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
86 Passes 179
37% Pass Accuracy 56%
16 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nürnberg (K) vs Köln (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Köln (K) edged past Nürnberg (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Köln (K) as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Nürnberg (K) had 43% of the ball to Köln (K)'s 57%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.49 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nürnberg (K) and 3.00 for Köln (K).

What was the final score of Nürnberg (K) vs Köln (K)?

Nürnberg (K) 1-2 Köln (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg (K) vs Köln (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Köln (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg (K) 28%, draw 23%, Köln (K) 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Köln (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Köln (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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