RB Leipzig (K) 2-0 Freiburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.23
Over 2.5
46%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.49
No
34%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-8.6pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.2pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.2pp
66%
BTTS Yes
63%
+2.7pp
34%
BTTS No
37%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RB Leipzig (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
0.69/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.37
-13% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +150%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
10.7 Crosses 9.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RB Leipzig (K)
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Freiburg (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
1.25 xG 1.81
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
320 Passes 328
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2025 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) 2-4 HT 0-2 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) ALKB
30.03.2025 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) ALKB
20.10.2024 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) 4-1 HT 1-0 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) ALKB
27.01.2024 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RB Leipzig (K)
2-0
AWAY Freiburg (K)
0.62 xG 0.86
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
334 Passes 287
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH RB Leipzig (K) vs Freiburg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RB Leipzig (K) got the better of Freiburg (K) 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; RB Leipzig (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, RB Leipzig (K) had 51% of the ball to Freiburg (K)'s 49%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.62 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Freiburg (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for RB Leipzig (K) and 2.25 for Freiburg (K).

What was the final score of RB Leipzig (K) vs Freiburg (K)?

RB Leipzig (K) 2-0 Freiburg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RB Leipzig (K) vs Freiburg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Freiburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig (K) 33%, draw 30%, Freiburg (K) 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Freiburg (K)), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Freiburg (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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