W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-2 Melbourne City (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 22 Mar 2026

W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1-2 HT 0-2
Melbourne City (K)
📅22/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2025/2026

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Melbourne City (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.09
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
56%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
36%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
16%
+3.0pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.0pp
56%
Away Win
63%
-7.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) v Melbourne City (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne City (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
+5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -4%
1.19/2.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.20
-24% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +14%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
244 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 83%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
18.5 Crosses 13.4
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.0

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Melbourne City (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Melbourne City (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.56 xG 2.09
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
208 Passes 439
66% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
04.02.2026 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
25.01.2025 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
30.11.2024 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
14.01.2024 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
01.01.2019 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
01.01.2018 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-2 Melbourne City (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1-2
AWAY Melbourne City (K)
0.63 xG 1.93
67% Ball Possession 33%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
400 Passes 156
84% Pass Accuracy 65%
12 Box Touches 24
26 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Melbourne City (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne City (K) nicked a narrow win over W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Melbourne City (K) as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) had 67% of the ball to Melbourne City (K)'s 33%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.63 to 1.93 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Melbourne City (K)'s control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne City (K) led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) and 1.00 for Melbourne City (K).

What was the final score of W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Melbourne City (K)?

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-2 Melbourne City (K) in the Australia - W-League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Melbourne City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 19%, draw 25%, Melbourne City (K) 56%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne City (K)), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne City (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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