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Canberra United (K) vs Adelaide United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Canberra United (K) v Adelaide United (K) — Team-Based Signals
Canberra United (K) vs Adelaide United (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
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1-2
HT 0-1
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Canberra United (K)
AVUSTW
1-0
HT 0-0
Adelaide United (K)
AVUSTW
Canberra United (K) 3-2 Adelaide United (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Canberra United (K) edged past Adelaide United (K) 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Canberra United (K) as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Canberra United (K) had 48% of the ball to Adelaide United (K)'s 52%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.39 to 0.77.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Canberra United (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Canberra United (K) and 1.17 for Adelaide United (K).
What was the final score of Canberra United (K) vs Adelaide United (K)?
Canberra United (K) 3-2 Adelaide United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Canberra United (K) vs Adelaide United (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Canberra United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Canberra United (K) 44%, draw 27%, Adelaide United (K) 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Canberra United (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.