Muranga All Stars 1-1 Mathare United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.0pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.2pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.4pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muranga All Stars EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mathare United EU Bookmakers 30%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.06/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.06
+11% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
317 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muranga All Stars
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Mathare United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.01.2026 Mathare United Mathare United 0-2 HT 0-1 Muranga All Stars Muranga All Stars KEN
02.03.2025 Muranga All Stars Muranga All Stars 1-1 HT 0-1 Mathare United Mathare United KEN
10.12.2024 Mathare United Mathare United 0-2 HT 0-1 Muranga All Stars Muranga All Stars KEN
POST-MATCH Muranga All Stars vs Mathare United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muranga All Stars and Mathare United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Muranga All Stars at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Muranga All Stars had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Muranga All Stars and 0.33 for Mathare United.

What was the final score of Muranga All Stars vs Mathare United?

Muranga All Stars 1-1 Mathare United in the Kenya - Premier League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muranga All Stars vs Mathare United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muranga All Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Muranga All Stars 42%, draw 32%, Mathare United 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Muranga All Stars), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Muranga All Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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