Nairobi United 1-2 Ulinzi Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
33%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
34%
Away Win
23%
+10.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.5pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nairobi United EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulinzi Stars EU Bookmakers 26%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -6%
1.56/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.12
+21% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
297 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nairobi United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ulinzi Stars
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
11.01.2026 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 1-1 HT 0-1 Nairobi United Nairobi United KEN
POST-MATCH Nairobi United vs Ulinzi Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulinzi Stars edged past Nairobi United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Ulinzi Stars found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Nairobi United vs Ulinzi Stars?

Nairobi United 1-2 Ulinzi Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nairobi United vs Ulinzi Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nairobi United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nairobi United 40%, draw 27%, Ulinzi Stars 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nairobi United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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