Leopards SC vs Tusker Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leopards SC v Tusker — Team-Based Signals
Leopards SC vs Tusker Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Tusker
KEN2
Leopards SC 1-0 Tusker — Actual Match Statistics
Leopards SC squeezed past Tusker 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Leopards SC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (68%) came in.
On the day, Leopards SC had 51% of the ball to Tusker's 49%, shots finished 9-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Leopards SC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Leopards SC and 0.40 for Tusker.
What was the final score of Leopards SC vs Tusker?
Leopards SC 1-0 Tusker in the Kenya - Premier League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leopards SC vs Tusker?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leopards SC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Leopards SC 49%, draw 30%, Tusker 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leopards SC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.