Plateau United 1-0 Bayelsa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
9%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
62%
+5.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
9%
Away Win
15%
-5.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.2pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plateau United EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayelsa United EU Bookmakers 17%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.72/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.35
+14% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +0%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
418 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plateau United
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Bayelsa United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
02.11.2025 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 2-1 HT 1-1 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
26.02.2025 Plateau United Plateau United 1-0 HT 0-0 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United NIJ
13.10.2024 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 1-0 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plateau United
1-0
AWAY Bayelsa United
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Plateau United vs Bayelsa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plateau United nicked a narrow win over Bayelsa United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Plateau United as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Plateau United had 47% of the ball to Bayelsa United's 53%, shots finished 18-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bayelsa United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Plateau United and 1.00 for Bayelsa United.

What was the final score of Plateau United vs Bayelsa United?

Plateau United 1-0 Bayelsa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plateau United vs Bayelsa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plateau United win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Plateau United 66%, draw 24%, Bayelsa United 9%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Plateau United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Plateau United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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