Plateau United 1-0 Bayelsa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.56
Over 2.5
34%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.44
No
68%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-6.4pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.4pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+2.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
60%
+5.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
40%
-5.7pp
32%
BTTS Yes
37%
-4.5pp
68%
BTTS No
63%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plateau United EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayelsa United EU Bookmakers 18%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.93/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.24/1.60
+21% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / -12%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
399 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plateau United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bayelsa United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
13.10.2024 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 1-0 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
POST-MATCH Plateau United vs Bayelsa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plateau United nicked a narrow win over Bayelsa United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Plateau United as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (68%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Plateau United vs Bayelsa United?

Plateau United 1-0 Bayelsa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plateau United vs Bayelsa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plateau United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Plateau United 55%, draw 29%, Bayelsa United 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Plateau United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Plateau United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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