Lobi Stars 0-2 Niger Tornadoes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.4
No
49%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-10.4pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+7.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
38%
+13.6pp
49%
BTTS No
62%
-13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobi Stars EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Niger Tornadoes EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.47/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.81
-10% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
410 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lobi Stars
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Niger Tornadoes
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
13.10.2024 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes 1-1 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars NIJ
12.06.2024 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes 3-2 HT 2-1 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars NIJ
02.02.2022 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars 1-1 HT 0-0 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes NIJ
POST-MATCH Lobi Stars vs Niger Tornadoes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niger Tornadoes beat Lobi Stars 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lobi Stars at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Niger Tornadoes led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lobi Stars and 1.67 for Niger Tornadoes.

What was the final score of Lobi Stars vs Niger Tornadoes?

Lobi Stars 0-2 Niger Tornadoes in the Nigeria NPFL on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobi Stars vs Niger Tornadoes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lobi Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lobi Stars 48%, draw 28%, Niger Tornadoes 25%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lobi Stars), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lobi Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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