Kwara United 0-0 Abia Warriors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
35%
3.54
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.52
Over 2.5
31%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.51
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
59%
-13.8pp
35%
Draw
25%
+10.2pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.6pp
69%
Under 2.5
62%
+7.2pp
31%
Over 2.5
38%
-7.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.4pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kwara United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Abia Warriors EU Bookmakers 19%
+8% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.47/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.51
-9% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kwara United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Abia Warriors
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 11
29.02.2024 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors 1-0 HT 0-0 Kwara United Kwara United NIJ
24.02.2021 Kwara United Kwara United 1-1 HT 0-0 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors NIJ
POST-MATCH Kwara United vs Abia Warriors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kwara United and Abia Warriors played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Kwara United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Abia Warriors led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kwara United and 1.00 for Abia Warriors.

What was the final score of Kwara United vs Abia Warriors?

Kwara United 0-0 Abia Warriors in the Nigeria NPFL on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kwara United vs Abia Warriors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kwara United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kwara United 46%, draw 35%, Abia Warriors 19%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kwara United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kwara United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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