Kalisz 2-1 Rekord Bielsko-Biala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.19
2-3 Goals EV+ ✓
49%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.31
6+ Goals
8%
12.6
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.73 — our 49% vs market 48.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
34%
-5.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+3.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.2pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalisz EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rekord Bielsko-Biala EU Bookmakers 45%
-10% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.28/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/1.39
-8% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalisz
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Rekord Bielsko-Biala
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.09.2025 Rekord Bielsko-Biala Rekord Bielsko-Biala 0-1 HT 0-1 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
05.04.2025 Rekord Bielsko-Biala Rekord Bielsko-Biala 2-1 HT 1-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
08.09.2024 Kalisz Kalisz 2-2 HT 1-0 Rekord Bielsko-Biala Rekord Bielsko-Biala POL2
POST-MATCH Kalisz vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalisz nicked a narrow win over Rekord Bielsko-Biala 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Rekord Bielsko-Biala at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kalisz and 1.33 for Rekord Bielsko-Biala.

What was the final score of Kalisz vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala?

Kalisz 2-1 Rekord Bielsko-Biala in the Poland - 2nd Division on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalisz vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rekord Bielsko-Biala win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kalisz 28%, draw 28%, Rekord Bielsko-Biala 44%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rekord Bielsko-Biala), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rekord Bielsko-Biala) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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