Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2-2 Warta Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 22 Mar 2026

Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2-2 HT 1-1
Warta Poznan
📅22/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Poland - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Poznan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 29% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-3.8pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.7pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zaglebie Sosnowiec v Warta Poznan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.51/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.71
+4% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +89%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Poznan Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Warta Poznan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
The Meetings
07.09.2025 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 1-0 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL2
10.07.2020 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0-2 HT 0-1 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL1
19.10.2019 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 2-3 HT 0-1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL1

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2-2 Warta Poznan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2-2
AWAY Warta Poznan
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Poznan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Sosnowiec and Warta Poznan couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zaglebie Sosnowiec had 51% of the ball to Warta Poznan's 49%, shots finished 14-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Warta Poznan led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zaglebie Sosnowiec and 1.67 for Warta Poznan.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Poznan?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2-2 Warta Poznan in the Poland - 2nd Division on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Poznan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Warta Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Sosnowiec 34%, draw 30%, Warta Poznan 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Warta Poznan), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Warta Poznan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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