Unia Skierniewice 3-3 NKP Podhale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.8
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
31%
2.87
6+ Goals
10%
8.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.87 — our 31% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
51%
+6.0pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.1pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-1.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.7pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Unia Skierniewice EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY NKP Podhale EU Bookmakers 29%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.04/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.31/0.67
+29% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -75% / +127%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Unia Skierniewice
0W-0D-1L
AWAY NKP Podhale
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 4
06.09.2025 NKP Podhale NKP Podhale 1-0 HT 1-0 Unia Skierniewice POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Unia Skierniewice
3-3
AWAY NKP Podhale
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Unia Skierniewice vs NKP Podhale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Unia Skierniewice and NKP Podhale couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Unia Skierniewice at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Unia Skierniewice had 56% of the ball to NKP Podhale's 44%, shots finished 14-14.

What was the final score of Unia Skierniewice vs NKP Podhale?

Unia Skierniewice 3-3 NKP Podhale in the Poland - 2nd Division on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Unia Skierniewice vs NKP Podhale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Unia Skierniewice win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Unia Skierniewice 57%, draw 20%, NKP Podhale 23%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Unia Skierniewice) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Unia Skierniewice) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL2 More Poland - 2nd Division
22 Mar 2026
14:00 Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Olimpia Grudziadz Analysis →
15:00 Slask Wroclaw II vs Resovia Rzeszow Analysis →
16:00 Sokol Kleczew vs Chojniczanka Chojnice Analysis →
19:00 Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Poznan Analysis →
20:00 Kalisz vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala Analysis →