Spartak Kostroma 1-1 Shinnik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+3.1pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.3pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Kostroma EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Shinnik EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -25%
1.59/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.33
+22% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
279 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Kostroma
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Shinnik
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.10.2025 Shinnik Shinnik 2-2 HT 1-0 Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Kostroma
1-1
AWAY Shinnik
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Spartak Kostroma vs Shinnik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Kostroma and Shinnik couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Spartak Kostroma at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Spartak Kostroma had 57% of the ball to Shinnik's 43%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Spartak Kostroma vs Shinnik?

Spartak Kostroma 1-1 Shinnik in the Russia - FNL on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Kostroma vs Shinnik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Kostroma win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Spartak Kostroma 47%, draw 24%, Shinnik 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Spartak Kostroma), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Kostroma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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