SKA Khabarovsk 1-3 Arsenal Tula — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.3pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SKA Khabarovsk EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 37%
+14% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -25%
1.46/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.07
+28% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SKA Khabarovsk
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Arsenal Tula
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.09.2025 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 3-1 HT 2-1 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
13.04.2025 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 1-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
31.08.2024 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-0 HT 0-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
14.04.2024 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-0 HT 1-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
14.10.2023 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 1-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
17.07.2022 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 3-2 HT 2-2 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SKA Khabarovsk
1-3
AWAY Arsenal Tula
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SKA Khabarovsk vs Arsenal Tula
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Tula got the better of SKA Khabarovsk 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Arsenal Tula found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SKA Khabarovsk had 49% of the ball to Arsenal Tula's 51%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal Tula led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for SKA Khabarovsk and 1.50 for Arsenal Tula.

What was the final score of SKA Khabarovsk vs Arsenal Tula?

SKA Khabarovsk 1-3 Arsenal Tula in the Russia - FNL on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SKA Khabarovsk vs Arsenal Tula?

Before kick-off our model rated a SKA Khabarovsk win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split SKA Khabarovsk 38%, draw 27%, Arsenal Tula 35%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (SKA Khabarovsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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