Ural 2-4 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.1pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ural EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk EU Bookmakers 23%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.70/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.43
+18% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ural
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.51 xG 1.81
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
230 Passes 284
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.08.2025 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 0-2 HT 0-0 Ural Ural RUS1
16.11.2024 Ural Ural 4-3 HT 2-2 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
29.09.2024 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 3-0 HT 2-0 Ural Ural RUS1
07.04.2019 Ural Ural 3-2 HT 0-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS
22.09.2018 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-2 HT 0-1 Ural Ural RUS
24.09.2015 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-2 HT 1-0 Ural Ural RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ural
2-4
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ural vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk beat Ural 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ural at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ural had 43% of the ball to Yenisey Krasnoyarsk's 57%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ural had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Ural and 1.67 for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk.

What was the final score of Ural vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?

Ural 2-4 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk in the Russia - FNL on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ural vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ural 53%, draw 26%, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 22%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ural), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ural) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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