OFK Beograd 3-3 IMT Novi Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
1.46/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.20
-5% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
19.9 Crosses 20.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFK Beograd
1W-2D-0L
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.10 xG 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
335 Passes 250
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.10.2025 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 HT 1-1 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd SIRP
26.02.2025 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 HT 0-0 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd SIRP
28.09.2024 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 4-3 HT 2-1 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFK Beograd
3-3
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
0.62 xG 2.56
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
240 Passes 247
67% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 33
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH OFK Beograd vs IMT Novi Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFK Beograd and IMT Novi Beograd shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was OFK Beograd at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, OFK Beograd had 49% of the ball to IMT Novi Beograd's 51%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.62 to 2.56.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, OFK Beograd had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for OFK Beograd and 1.67 for IMT Novi Beograd.

What was the final score of OFK Beograd vs IMT Novi Beograd?

OFK Beograd 3-3 IMT Novi Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFK Beograd vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFK Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split OFK Beograd 46%, draw 24%, IMT Novi Beograd 31%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (OFK Beograd), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (OFK Beograd) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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