IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 OFK Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
30%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-11.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+10.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 22%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.96/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/2.02
-32% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
364 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 70%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
26.0 Crosses 18.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
0W-0D-1L
AWAY OFK Beograd
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
2.45 xG 2.02
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
269 Passes 336
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2024 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 4-3 HT 2-1 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
1-1
AWAY OFK Beograd
0.72 xG 0.80
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
220 Passes 291
69% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH IMT Novi Beograd vs OFK Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IMT Novi Beograd and OFK Beograd couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was IMT Novi Beograd at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, IMT Novi Beograd had 45% of the ball to OFK Beograd's 55%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.72 to 0.80.

What was the final score of IMT Novi Beograd vs OFK Beograd?

IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 OFK Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IMT Novi Beograd vs OFK Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a IMT Novi Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split IMT Novi Beograd 45%, draw 25%, OFK Beograd 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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