Spartak Subotica 1-0 Jedinstvo Ub — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.0pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.5pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Jedinstvo Ub EU Bookmakers 20%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.35/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.68
-27% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
19.6 Crosses 16.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Subotica
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Jedinstvo Ub
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.47 xG 1.45
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
204 Passes 338
66% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Jedinstvo Ub Jedinstvo Ub 2-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Subotica
1-0
AWAY Jedinstvo Ub
2.28 xG 0.29
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
303 Passes 370
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 8
24 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Spartak Subotica vs Jedinstvo Ub
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Subotica edged past Jedinstvo Ub 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spartak Subotica as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Spartak Subotica had 46% of the ball to Jedinstvo Ub's 54%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.28 to 0.29 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Spartak Subotica's control.

What was the final score of Spartak Subotica vs Jedinstvo Ub?

Spartak Subotica 1-0 Jedinstvo Ub in the Serbia - Super League on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Subotica vs Jedinstvo Ub?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Subotica win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Spartak Subotica 48%, draw 30%, Jedinstvo Ub 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Subotica), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Subotica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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