Busaiteen 2-1 Muharraq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 22 Apr 2024

📅22/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
48%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.35
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
3.53
6+ Goals
10%
13.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+4.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-4.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busaiteen EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Muharraq EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.59/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.11
+64% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
245 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busaiteen
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Muharraq
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.01.2024 Busaiteen Busaiteen 1-3 HT 0-1 Muharraq Muharraq BAHK
08.11.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 0-0 HT 0-0 Busaiteen Busaiteen BAH
11.10.2022 Muharraq Muharraq 2-0 HT 1-0 Busaiteen Busaiteen BAHKK
10.04.2021 Busaiteen Busaiteen 1-1 HT 0-1 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
04.02.2021 Busaiteen Busaiteen 1-1 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
30.10.2020 Muharraq Muharraq 4-1 HT 2-0 Busaiteen Busaiteen BAHK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busaiteen
2-1
AWAY Muharraq
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Busaiteen vs Muharraq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busaiteen nicked a narrow win over Muharraq 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Muharraq at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Busaiteen had 39% of the ball to Muharraq's 61%, shots finished 5-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Muharraq led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Busaiteen and 1.83 for Muharraq.

What was the final score of Busaiteen vs Muharraq?

Busaiteen 2-1 Muharraq in the Bahrain - Premier League on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busaiteen vs Muharraq?

Before kick-off our model rated an Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Busaiteen 28%, draw 24%, Muharraq 48%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Muharraq) ✗ Under 2.5
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