Valencia 1-1 Espanyol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 22 Apr 2025

Valencia
1-1 HT 0-1
Espanyol
📅22/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Valencia vs Espanyol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.65
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.25
6+ Goals
9%
21.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.77
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
10%
13.75
X/1
10%
4.55
X/2
13%
7.74
X/X
9%
4.18
2/1
10%
28.0
2/2
13%
6.28
2/X
8%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-5.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valencia v Espanyol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valencia EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Espanyol EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -17%
1.33/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.39
-9% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
22.3 Crosses 16.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Valencia vs Espanyol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valencia
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Espanyol
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.57 xG 1.34
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 Passes 323
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.12.2024 Espanyol Espanyol 1-1 HT 1-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
28.05.2023 Valencia Valencia 2-2 HT 1-1 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
02.10.2022 Espanyol Espanyol 2-2 HT 0-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
14.05.2022 Espanyol Espanyol 1-1 HT 1-1 Valencia Valencia İS1
31.12.2021 Valencia Valencia 1-2 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
16.07.2020 Valencia Valencia 1-0 HT 1-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1

Valencia 1-1 Espanyol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valencia
1-1
AWAY Espanyol
0.94 xG 0.31
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
564 Passes 248
90% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 11
34 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valencia vs Espanyol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valencia and Espanyol shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Valencia at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Valencia had 67% of the ball to Espanyol's 33%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 0.94 to 0.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Valencia and 1.33 for Espanyol.

What was the final score of Valencia vs Espanyol?

Valencia 1-1 Espanyol in the Spain - Primera Liga on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valencia vs Espanyol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Valencia 41%, draw 26%, Espanyol 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Valencia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valencia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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