Barcelona vs Mallorca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Barcelona v Mallorca — Team-Based Signals
Barcelona vs Mallorca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-1
Barcelona
İS1
3-0
HT 2-0
Mallorca
İS1
0-1
HT 0-1
Barcelona
İS1
2-1
HT 1-0
Mallorca
İS1
Barcelona 1-0 Mallorca — Actual Match Statistics
Barcelona nicked a narrow win over Mallorca 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Barcelona as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Barcelona had 78% of the ball to Mallorca's 22%, shots finished 40-4, expected goals 3.45 to 0.27 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Barcelona's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Barcelona and 0.67 for Mallorca.
What was the final score of Barcelona vs Mallorca?
Barcelona 1-0 Mallorca in the Spain - Primera Liga on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Barcelona vs Mallorca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Barcelona 61%, draw 19%, Mallorca 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.