Ajax Cape Town 4-0 Pretoria Callies — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 22 Apr 2025

📅22/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
1.54
Over
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
42%
2-3
36%
4-5
15%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.6pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax Cape Town EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Pretoria Callies EU Bookmakers 25%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.64/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.90
+32% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +36%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax Cape Town
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Pretoria Callies
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2024 Pretoria Callies Pretoria Callies 2-1 HT 2-1 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town GAF1
19.03.2023 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Pretoria Callies Pretoria Callies GAF1
01.04.2022 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Pretoria Callies Pretoria Callies GAF1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax Cape Town
4-0
AWAY Pretoria Callies
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ajax Cape Town vs Pretoria Callies
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax Cape Town ran out comfortable winners over Pretoria Callies 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ajax Cape Town as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Ajax Cape Town had 56% of the ball to Pretoria Callies's 44%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pretoria Callies led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ajax Cape Town and 1.33 for Pretoria Callies.

What was the final score of Ajax Cape Town vs Pretoria Callies?

Ajax Cape Town 4-0 Pretoria Callies in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax Cape Town vs Pretoria Callies?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax Cape Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ajax Cape Town 45%, draw 28%, Pretoria Callies 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax Cape Town), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajax Cape Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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