22/04/2025
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
Durban City vs Milford Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
39%
4-5
17%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
22%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
BTTS No
Under 2.5
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
31%
Draw
27%
25%
Away Win
24%
59%
Under 2.5
57%
41%
Over 2.5
43%
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
54%
BTTS No
53%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Durban City v Milford — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Durban City
EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Milford
EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% /
-2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-15% /
-10%
0.71/0.47
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.09/1.96
-44%
/
+74%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+16%
/
-39%
55%
Ball Possession
45%
13
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
366 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
279 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
1.3
Durban City vs Milford Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Durban City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Milford
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
62%
Ball Possession
38%
16
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
1
3
Yellow Cards
0
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Durban City vs Milford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Milford squeezed past Durban City 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Durban City at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Durban City vs Milford?
Durban City 0-1 Milford in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Durban City vs Milford?
Before kick-off our model rated a Durban City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Durban City 44%, draw 31%, Milford 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Durban City) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Durban City)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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GAF1
More South Afrika - 1st Division
22 Apr 2025