University Of Pretoria 2-1 Casric Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 22 Apr 2025

📅22/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.54
Over
51%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
2.03
No
47%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
43%
4-5
21%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
+0.4pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.6pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
61%
-11.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
39%
+11.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
45%
+7.5pp
47%
BTTS No
55%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME University Of Pretoria EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Casric Stars EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.53/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.08
+29% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
211 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME University Of Pretoria
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Casric Stars
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 Casric Stars Casric Stars 1-0 HT 0-0 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria GAF1
05.04.2024 Casric Stars Casric Stars 0-1 HT 0-0 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria GAF1
29.10.2023 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria 0-1 HT 0-0 Casric Stars Casric Stars GAF1
29.10.2022 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria 1-2 HT 1-1 Casric Stars Casric Stars GAF1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME University Of Pretoria
2-1
AWAY Casric Stars
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
POST-MATCH University Of Pretoria vs Casric Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

University Of Pretoria nicked a narrow win over Casric Stars 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 39% — and on the day University Of Pretoria made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, University Of Pretoria had 43% of the ball to Casric Stars's 57%, shots finished 8-21.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Casric Stars led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for University Of Pretoria and 1.00 for Casric Stars.

What was the final score of University Of Pretoria vs Casric Stars?

University Of Pretoria 2-1 Casric Stars in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for University Of Pretoria vs Casric Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated an Casric Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split University Of Pretoria 31%, draw 30%, Casric Stars 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Casric Stars) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Casric Stars) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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