Naft Gachsaran 1-1 Saipa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 22 Apr 2025

Naft Gachsaran
1-1 HT 0-0
Saipa
📅22/04/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Iran - Azadegan League – 2024/2025

Naft Gachsaran vs Saipa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.17
Draw
32%
2.77
Away
31%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.36
Over 2.5
35%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.33
No
68%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
50%
1.85
2-3 Goals
26%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
6.82
6+ Goals
5%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
28%
+8.7pp
32%
Draw
33%
-1.1pp
31%
Away Win
39%
-7.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
70%
-4.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
30%
+4.7pp
32%
BTTS Yes
39%
-6.6pp
68%
BTTS No
61%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Naft Gachsaran v Saipa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Gachsaran EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Saipa EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.83/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.87
-6% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Naft Gachsaran vs Saipa Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft Gachsaran
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Saipa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
07.12.2024 Saipa Saipa 1-0 HT 0-0 Naft Gachsaran IRANAZ
05.06.2024 Saipa Saipa 2-1 HT 1-0 Naft Gachsaran IRANAZ
12.12.2023 Naft Gachsaran 2-3 HT 1-1 Saipa Saipa IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Naft Gachsaran vs Saipa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Gachsaran and Saipa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (68%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Saipa led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Naft Gachsaran and 2.00 for Saipa.

What was the final score of Naft Gachsaran vs Saipa?

Naft Gachsaran 1-1 Saipa in the Iran - Azadegan League on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Gachsaran vs Saipa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naft Gachsaran win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Naft Gachsaran 37%, draw 32%, Saipa 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Naft Gachsaran), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naft Gachsaran) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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