Saipa 2-1 Naft Gachsaran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 5 Jun 2024

📅05/06/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
36%
2.88
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.36
Over 2.5
33%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.44
No
61%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.86
2-3 Goals
46%
1.9
4-5 Goals
10%
7.58
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
25%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.9pp
36%
Draw
31%
+5.1pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.8pp
67%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.7pp
33%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
37%
+2.1pp
61%
BTTS No
63%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saipa EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Gachsaran EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.16/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/0.87
+5% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saipa
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Naft Gachsaran
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
12.12.2023 Naft Gachsaran 2-3 HT 1-1 Saipa Saipa IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Saipa vs Naft Gachsaran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saipa nicked a narrow win over Naft Gachsaran 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 36% / 28% — and on the day Saipa made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Saipa vs Naft Gachsaran?

Saipa 2-1 Naft Gachsaran in the Iran - Azadegan League on 05/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saipa vs Naft Gachsaran?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saipa win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Saipa 36%, draw 36%, Naft Gachsaran 28%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/36/28) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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