Mes Kerman 2-1 Naft Masjed Soleyman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 5 Jun 2024

📅05/06/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.25
Draw
45%
2.83
Away
23%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.36
Over 2.5
35%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
29%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
41%
-8.8pp
45%
Draw
32%
+12.9pp
23%
Away Win
27%
-4.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
70%
-4.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
30%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Kerman EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Masjed Soleyman EU Bookmakers 31%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.01/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.62
-10% / +133% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +70%
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Kerman
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Naft Masjed Soleyman
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
13.12.2023 Naft Masjed Soleyman Naft Masjed Soleyman 2-0 HT 1-0 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman IRANAZ
20.01.2023 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman 2-0 HT 1-0 Naft Masjed Soleyman Naft Masjed Soleyman IRAN
POST-MATCH Mes Kerman vs Naft Masjed Soleyman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Kerman nicked a narrow win over Naft Masjed Soleyman 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mes Kerman and 1.00 for Naft Masjed Soleyman.

What was the final score of Mes Kerman vs Naft Masjed Soleyman?

Mes Kerman 2-1 Naft Masjed Soleyman in the Iran - Azadegan League on 05/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Kerman vs Naft Masjed Soleyman?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mes Kerman 32%, draw 45%, Naft Masjed Soleyman 23%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5
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