Fajr Sepasi 3-0 Mes Soongoun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 5 Jun 2024

📅05/06/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
No
66%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fajr Sepasi EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Soongoun EU Bookmakers 23%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.75/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.18
+27% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fajr Sepasi
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Mes Soongoun
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
13.12.2023 Mes Soongoun Mes Soongoun 0-3 HT 0-1 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Fajr Sepasi vs Mes Soongoun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fajr Sepasi cruised past Mes Soongoun 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fajr Sepasi as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (66%) landed while under 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

What was the final score of Fajr Sepasi vs Mes Soongoun?

Fajr Sepasi 3-0 Mes Soongoun in the Iran - Azadegan League on 05/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fajr Sepasi vs Mes Soongoun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fajr Sepasi win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Fajr Sepasi 49%, draw 28%, Mes Soongoun 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fajr Sepasi), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fajr Sepasi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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