05/06/2024
·
19:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Fajr Sepasi vs Mes Soongoun Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
No
66%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
28%
Draw
28%
23%
Away Win
20%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fajr Sepasi v Mes Soongoun — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Fajr Sepasi
EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY
Mes Soongoun
EU Bookmakers 23%
+20% /
+20%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-6% /
-6%
1.75/0.45
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.50/1.18
+27%
/
+36%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-27%
/
+1%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
318 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
259 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Fajr Sepasi vs Mes Soongoun Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Fajr Sepasi
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Mes Soongoun
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
13.12.2023
Mes Soongoun
0-3
HT 0-1
Fajr Sepasi
IRANAZ
0-3
HT 0-1
Fajr Sepasi
IRANAZ
POST-MATCH
Fajr Sepasi vs Mes Soongoun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Fajr Sepasi cruised past Mes Soongoun 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Fajr Sepasi as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (66%) landed while under 2.5 goals (67%) missed.
What was the final score of Fajr Sepasi vs Mes Soongoun?
Fajr Sepasi 3-0 Mes Soongoun in the Iran - Azadegan League on 05/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fajr Sepasi vs Mes Soongoun?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fajr Sepasi win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Fajr Sepasi 49%, draw 28%, Mes Soongoun 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fajr Sepasi), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Fajr Sepasi)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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IRANAZ
More Iran - Azadegan League
5 Jun 2024