Kheybar Khorramabad 4-1 Ario Eslamshahr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 5 Jun 2024

📅05/06/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
16%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
29%
No
71%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
59%
+3.6pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.2pp
16%
Away Win
16%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kheybar Khorramabad EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ario Eslamshahr EU Bookmakers 19%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +14%
1.72/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/0.90
+19% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +49%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
275 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kheybar Khorramabad
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ario Eslamshahr
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
13.02.2023 Kheybar Khorramabad Kheybar Khorramabad 0-1 HT 0-0 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Kheybar Khorramabad vs Ario Eslamshahr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kheybar Khorramabad ran out comfortable winners over Ario Eslamshahr 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kheybar Khorramabad as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (71%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Kheybar Khorramabad vs Ario Eslamshahr?

Kheybar Khorramabad 4-1 Ario Eslamshahr in the Iran - Azadegan League on 05/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kheybar Khorramabad vs Ario Eslamshahr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kheybar Khorramabad win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Kheybar Khorramabad 63%, draw 21%, Ario Eslamshahr 16%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kheybar Khorramabad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kheybar Khorramabad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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