Esteghlal Mollasani 1-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 5 Jun 2024

Esteghlal Mollasani
1-0 HT 0-0
Mes Shahr-e Babak FC
📅05/06/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Iran - Azadegan League – 2023/2024

Esteghlal Mollasani vs Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
35%
2.88
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.6pp
35%
Draw
31%
+3.5pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Esteghlal Mollasani v Mes Shahr-e Babak FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Mollasani EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Shahr-e Babak FC EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.64/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/0.74
-44% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
307 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Esteghlal Mollasani vs Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Mollasani
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Mes Shahr-e Babak FC
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
The Meetings
12.12.2023 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Mollasani Esteghlal Mollasani IRANAZ
10.05.2023 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Mollasani Esteghlal Mollasani IRANAZ
19.12.2022 Esteghlal Mollasani Esteghlal Mollasani 0-0 HT 0-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC IRANAZ
28.04.2022 Esteghlal Mollasani Esteghlal Mollasani 1-1 HT 0-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Mollasani vs Mes Shahr-e Babak FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal Mollasani nicked a narrow win over Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 35% / 33%) promised a tight game; Esteghlal Mollasani found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Mes Shahr-e Babak FC led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Esteghlal Mollasani and 0.75 for Mes Shahr-e Babak FC.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Mollasani vs Mes Shahr-e Babak FC?

Esteghlal Mollasani 1-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC in the Iran - Azadegan League on 05/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Mollasani vs Mes Shahr-e Babak FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Mollasani 33%, draw 35%, Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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