Boyaca Chico 0-2 Fortaleza CEIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 22 Apr 2025

Boyaca Chico
0-2 HT 0-0
Fortaleza CEIF
📅22/04/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2025

Boyaca Chico vs Fortaleza CEIF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.83
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.52
Over
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
40%
4-5
19%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.3pp
27%
Draw
32%
-5.0pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.2pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boyaca Chico v Fortaleza CEIF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boyaca Chico EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.98/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.44
-6% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
20.5 Crosses 16.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Boyaca Chico vs Fortaleza CEIF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boyaca Chico
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.78 xG 0.90
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
194 Passes 420
66% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.02.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-1 HT 1-1 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
29.10.2022 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 0-2 HT 0-1 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOLB
25.10.2022 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOLB
24.09.2022 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOLB
27.08.2022 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-0 HT 1-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOLB
27.03.2022 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 0-1 HT 0-1 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOLPB

Boyaca Chico 0-2 Fortaleza CEIF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boyaca Chico
0-2
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
0.31 xG 0.70
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 14
184 Passes 234
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
11 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boyaca Chico vs Fortaleza CEIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza CEIF got the better of Boyaca Chico 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Fortaleza CEIF found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Boyaca Chico had 46% of the ball to Fortaleza CEIF's 54%, shots finished 7-20, expected goals 0.31 to 0.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortaleza CEIF led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Boyaca Chico and 0.50 for Fortaleza CEIF.

What was the final score of Boyaca Chico vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Boyaca Chico 0-2 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Primera on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boyaca Chico vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boyaca Chico win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Boyaca Chico 36%, draw 27%, Fortaleza CEIF 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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