Deportivo Pasto vs Aguilas Doradas Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Pasto v Aguilas Doradas — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Pasto vs Aguilas Doradas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
3-0
HT 0-0
Aguilas Doradas
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Aguilas Doradas
KOL
Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Aguilas Doradas — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Pasto nicked a narrow win over Aguilas Doradas 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 37% / 27% — and on the day Deportivo Pasto made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.
On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 41% of the ball to Aguilas Doradas's 59%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.84 to 0.67.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pasto had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 0.67 for Aguilas Doradas.
What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Aguilas Doradas?
Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Aguilas Doradas in the Colombia - Primera on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Aguilas Doradas?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 36%, draw 37%, Aguilas Doradas 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.