Stal Mielec 0-0 Gornik Zabrze — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 22 Apr 2025

Stal Mielec
0-0 HT 0-0
Gornik Zabrze
📅22/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Stal Mielec vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
1.91
Over Pick
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
23%
3.28
2-3
39%
1.77
4-5 ✗
25%
3.34
6+
13%
12.55
Value flag · 4-5 at 3.34 — our 25% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.93
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
9%
5.89
X/2
13%
5.58
X/X
11%
4.86
2/1 ✗
12%
28.5
2/2
15%
3.63
2/X
6%
13.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 12% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stal Mielec v Gornik Zabrze — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Mielec EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.42/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.27
-5% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
22.0 Crosses 16.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6

Stal Mielec vs Gornik Zabrze Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Mielec
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.05 xG 1.70
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
282 Passes 416
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
20.10.2024 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 3-1 HT 1-1 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
11.05.2024 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-1 HT 0-0 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
12.11.2023 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 2-1 HT 1-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
26.02.2023 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 0-1 HT 0-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
13.08.2022 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-3 HT 1-2 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
05.02.2022 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 1-2 HT 1-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL

Stal Mielec 0-0 Gornik Zabrze — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Mielec
0-0
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
0.82 xG 1.51
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
373 Passes 434
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Stal Mielec vs Gornik Zabrze
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Mielec and Gornik Zabrze played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stal Mielec had 47% of the ball to Gornik Zabrze's 53%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.82 to 1.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gornik Zabrze led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stal Mielec and 1.50 for Gornik Zabrze.

What was the final score of Stal Mielec vs Gornik Zabrze?

Stal Mielec 0-0 Gornik Zabrze in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Mielec vs Gornik Zabrze?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stal Mielec win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Stal Mielec 39%, draw 25%, Gornik Zabrze 36%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stal Mielec) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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