Birmingham 2-1 Preston North End — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 22 Apr 2026

📅22/04/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.88
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
15.35
X/1
13%
4.04
X/2
5%
11.35
X/X
10%
5.99
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.1
2/2
9%
9.06
2/X
6%
17.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.1 — our 11% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
61%
-1.1pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.3pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Preston North End EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.85/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.48
-5% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
361 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
24.6 Crosses 15.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Preston North End
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.35 xG 0.74
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
256 Passes 251
71% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.10.2025 Preston North End Preston North End 0-1 HT 0-1 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
01.04.2024 Birmingham Birmingham 1-0 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
19.09.2023 Preston North End Preston North End 2-1 HT 0-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
21.01.2023 Birmingham Birmingham 1-2 HT 0-2 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
03.09.2022 Preston North End Preston North End 0-1 HT 0-1 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
15.01.2022 Preston North End Preston North End 1-1 HT 1-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham
2-1
AWAY Preston North End
2.39 xG 2.37
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
210 Passes 190
67% Pass Accuracy 61%
28 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Birmingham vs Preston North End
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham edged past Preston North End 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Birmingham as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Birmingham had 50% of the ball to Preston North End's 50%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 2.39 to 2.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birmingham had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Birmingham and 0.83 for Preston North End.

What was the final score of Birmingham vs Preston North End?

Birmingham 2-1 Preston North End in the England - Championship on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham vs Preston North End?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Birmingham 60%, draw 21%, Preston North End 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birmingham), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Birmingham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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