Montpellier (K) 0-2 Paris FC (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 22 Apr 2026

📅22/04/2026 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
7%
6.35
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
73%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.18
Over 2.5
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
2%
X/2
29%
X/X
9%
2/1
2%
2/2
37%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
7%
Home Win
12%
-5.0pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.0pp
73%
Away Win
70%
+3.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-1.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+1.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.2pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris FC (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -11%
0.76/2.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/0.70
+81% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +18%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 81%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.8
10.2 Crosses 18.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montpellier (K)
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Paris FC (K)
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
1.08 xG 1.43
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
199 Passes 332
65% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.11.2025 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) FRK1
29.03.2025 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) FRK1
09.11.2024 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) 4-2 HT 2-1 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) FRK1
29.03.2024 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) 3-0 HT 3-0 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) FRK1
09.12.2023 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 1-4 HT 0-3 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montpellier (K)
0-2
AWAY Paris FC (K)
0.11 xG 1.52
29% Ball Possession 71%
3 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
124 Passes 421
58% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Montpellier (K) vs Paris FC (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris FC (K) saw off Montpellier (K) 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Paris FC (K) as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Montpellier (K) had 29% of the ball to Paris FC (K)'s 71%, shots finished 3-15, expected goals 0.11 to 1.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Paris FC (K) led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Montpellier (K) and 2.60 for Paris FC (K).

What was the final score of Montpellier (K) vs Paris FC (K)?

Montpellier (K) 0-2 Paris FC (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montpellier (K) vs Paris FC (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paris FC (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Montpellier (K) 7%, draw 20%, Paris FC (K) 73%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris FC (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paris FC (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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