Vukovar vs HNK Gorica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Vukovar v HNK Gorica — Team-Based Signals
Vukovar vs HNK Gorica Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Vukovar 1-2 HNK Gorica — Actual Match Statistics
HNK Gorica shaded a tight game against Vukovar 2-1 on the road. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; HNK Gorica found the edge the numbers couldn't.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.
Under the surface, possession split 51% to 49% in Vukovar's favour, shots finished 9-14.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Vukovar against 1.00 for HNK Gorica.
Vukovar vs HNK Gorica Result & Final Score
Vukovar 1 - 2 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Vukovar vs HNK Gorica Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an HNK Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vukovar 32%, draw 30%, HNK Gorica 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HNK Gorica), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.