NK Varazdin vs Rijeka Prediction — Model Probabilities
NK Varazdin v Rijeka — Team-Based Signals
NK Varazdin vs Rijeka Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
NK Varazdin 1-0 Rijeka — Actual Match Statistics
NK Varazdin shaded a tight game against Rijeka 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
The model refused to pick a side here (39% / 29% / 32%); NK Varazdin picked one for it. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, NK Varazdin had 47% of the ball to Rijeka's 53%, shots finished 2-15, expected goals 0.82 to 1.34 — the balance of chances actually favoured Rijeka.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NK Varazdin had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for NK Varazdin and 1.00 for Rijeka.
NK Varazdin vs Rijeka Result & Final Score
NK Varazdin 1 - 0 Rijeka in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
NK Varazdin vs Rijeka Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a NK Varazdin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split NK Varazdin 39%, draw 29%, Rijeka 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NK Varazdin), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.