Rijeka vs NK Varazdin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Rijeka v NK Varazdin — Team-Based Signals
Rijeka vs NK Varazdin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Rijeka 3-1 NK Varazdin — Actual Match Statistics
Rijeka took care of NK Varazdin 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Rijeka as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 46% for over 2.5, 48% on both teams scoring.
On the day, possession split 54% to 46% in Rijeka's favour, shots finished 26-18, expected goals 4.44 to 1.14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NK Varazdin led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Rijeka against 0.83 for NK Varazdin.
Rijeka vs NK Varazdin Result & Final Score
Rijeka 3 - 1 NK Varazdin in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Rijeka vs NK Varazdin Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 56%, draw 27%, NK Varazdin 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijeka) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.