Rijeka 1-2 NK Varazdin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
61%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
17%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
1.64
Over
54%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.12
No
45%
1.64
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
41%
4-5
22%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijeka The Market 58%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Varazdin The Market 22%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +24%
1.49/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.21
+16% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +38%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
21.2 Crosses 14.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijeka
2W-2D-2L
AWAY NK Varazdin
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.84 xG 0.81
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
330 Passes 288
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 1-0 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
01.02.2025 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-0 HT 1-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
26.10.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 1-1 HT 1-1 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
11.08.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 0-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
11.05.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 3-1 HT 2-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
03.03.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 2-0 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijeka
1-2
AWAY NK Varazdin
0.45 xG 1.45
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
340 Passes 273
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Rijeka vs NK Varazdin
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

NK Varazdin squeezed past Rijeka 2-1 away from home. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

This one beat our numbers. Rijeka carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (55%) came home.

Under the surface, Rijeka had 55% of the ball to NK Varazdin's 45%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.45 to 1.45.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rijeka and 0.83 for NK Varazdin.

Rijeka vs NK Varazdin Result & Final Score

Rijeka 1-2 NK Varazdin in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Rijeka vs NK Varazdin Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 61%, draw 22%, NK Varazdin 17%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rijeka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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