NK Varazdin vs Rijeka Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NK Varazdin v Rijeka — Team-Based Signals
NK Varazdin vs Rijeka Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Rijeka
HIR
2-2
HT 1-0
NK Varazdin
HIR
NK Varazdin 1-0 Rijeka — Actual Match Statistics
NK Varazdin nicked a narrow win over Rijeka 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Rijeka at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, NK Varazdin had 52% of the ball to Rijeka's 48%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.39 to 0.43.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for NK Varazdin and 1.33 for Rijeka.
What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs Rijeka?
NK Varazdin 1-0 Rijeka in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NK Varazdin vs Rijeka?
Before kick-off our model rated an Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split NK Varazdin 35%, draw 22%, Rijeka 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rijeka) went the other way.