Sibenik 1-1 Slaven Belupo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.59
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.05
6+ Goals
8%
19.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.59 — our 31% vs market 30.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.6pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.3pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sibenik EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 45%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -16%
1.12/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.17
-33% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
284 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
15.6 Crosses 22.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sibenik
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Slaven Belupo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.14 xG 1.10
48% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
300 Passes 265
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.11.2024 Sibenik Sibenik 1-2 HT 0-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIRK
25.10.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-2 HT 1-1 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
09.08.2024 Sibenik Sibenik 2-0 HT 2-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
25.04.2023 Sibenik Sibenik 3-1 HT 2-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
17.02.2023 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-1 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
14.10.2022 Sibenik Sibenik 0-2 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sibenik
1-1
AWAY Slaven Belupo
0.91 xG 0.48
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
263 Passes 211
68% Pass Accuracy 61%
16 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sibenik vs Slaven Belupo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sibenik and Slaven Belupo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sibenik had 53% of the ball to Slaven Belupo's 47%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 0.91 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sibenik had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sibenik and 1.17 for Slaven Belupo.

What was the final score of Sibenik vs Slaven Belupo?

Sibenik 1-1 Slaven Belupo in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sibenik vs Slaven Belupo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slaven Belupo win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Sibenik 34%, draw 31%, Slaven Belupo 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Slaven Belupo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slaven Belupo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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