Grobina 0-1 Rigas Skola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 22 Apr 2026

📅22/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
9%
12.23
Draw
11%
5.28
Away
80%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
37%
X/X
5%
2/1
2%
2/2
34%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
9%
Home Win
5%
+3.9pp
10%
Draw
16%
-5.1pp
80%
Away Win
79%
+1.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-0.9pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grobina EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 84%
+8% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
0.97/2.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/0.69
+7% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -7%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
254 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
13.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 41.9
13.9 Crosses 27.4
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grobina
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.83
0.57 xG 2.21
29% Ball Possession 71%
4 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
182 Passes 597
68% Pass Accuracy 89%
7 Box Touches 38
8 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2025 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 5-0 HT 3-0 Grobina Grobina LET
03.08.2025 Grobina Grobina 2-3 HT 1-2 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
31.05.2025 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 6-0 HT 4-0 Grobina Grobina LET
15.04.2025 Grobina Grobina 1-4 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
03.11.2024 Grobina Grobina 0-2 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
11.08.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 3-0 HT 0-0 Grobina Grobina LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grobina
0-1
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.15 xG 1.83
23% Ball Possession 77%
3 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 8
134 Passes 643
61% Pass Accuracy 87%
5 Box Touches 50
3 Crosses 32
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Grobina vs Rigas Skola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola squeezed past Grobina 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 80%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Grobina had 23% of the ball to Rigas Skola's 77%, shots finished 3-21, expected goals 0.15 to 1.83 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rigas Skola's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Grobina and 3.83 for Rigas Skola.

What was the final score of Grobina vs Rigas Skola?

Grobina 0-1 Rigas Skola in the Latvia - Virsliga on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grobina vs Rigas Skola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split Grobina 9%, draw 10%, Rigas Skola 80%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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