Grobina 2-3 Rigas Skola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
8%
9.57
Draw
14%
5.28
Away
78%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
2%
X/2
31%
X/X
8%
2/1
2%
2/2
41%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
7%
Home Win
8%
-0.2pp
14%
Draw
16%
-1.5pp
78%
Away Win
77%
+1.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.2pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grobina EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 81%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.15/2.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/0.66
+2% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +0%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
255 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 83%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 42.6
15.1 Crosses 27.1
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grobina
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.54 xG 2.70
30% Ball Possession 70%
4 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
199 Passes 595
69% Pass Accuracy 88%
8 Box Touches 50
8 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.05.2025 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 6-0 HT 4-0 Grobina Grobina LET
15.04.2025 Grobina Grobina 1-4 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
03.11.2024 Grobina Grobina 0-2 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
11.08.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 3-0 HT 0-0 Grobina Grobina LET
02.06.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 5-0 HT 1-0 Grobina Grobina LET
23.04.2024 Grobina Grobina 0-4 HT 0-2 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grobina
2-3
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.90 xG 1.22
22% Ball Possession 78%
5 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
146 Passes 721
68% Pass Accuracy 92%
10 Box Touches 29
8 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Grobina vs Rigas Skola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola squeezed past Grobina 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Grobina had 22% of the ball to Rigas Skola's 78%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 0.90 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Grobina and 4.00 for Rigas Skola.

What was the final score of Grobina vs Rigas Skola?

Grobina 2-3 Rigas Skola in the Latvia - Virsliga on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grobina vs Rigas Skola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Grobina 7%, draw 14%, Rigas Skola 78%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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