FK Tukums 2000 0-1 Riga FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
8%
16.01
Draw
13%
6.26
Away
79%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.67
No
54%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
12%
1/X
3%
X/1
2%
X/2
24%
X/X
5%
2/1
2%
2/2
43%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
8%
Home Win
3%
+4.5pp
13%
Draw
12%
+1.1pp
79%
Away Win
84%
-5.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
33%
+12.6pp
54%
BTTS No
67%
-12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC EU Bookmakers 90%
+13% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
0.84/2.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.71/0.76
+39% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +39%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
243 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 482 · 85%
12.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 42.9
11.7 Crosses 28.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Tukums 2000
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Riga FC
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 4.67
0.49 xG 3.94
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 9
210 Passes 427
71% Pass Accuracy 86%
7 Box Touches 54
6 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.07.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 4-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LETK
31.05.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 3-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
13.04.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-3 HT 0-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
27.10.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 10-1 HT 4-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
04.08.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-5 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
29.05.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 3-0 HT 2-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Tukums 2000
0-1
AWAY Riga FC
1.46 xG 2.29
34% Ball Possession 66%
17 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 11
166 Passes 402
67% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 47
12 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Tukums 2000 vs Riga FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC nicked a narrow win over FK Tukums 2000 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 34% of the ball to Riga FC's 66%, shots finished 17-24, expected goals 1.46 to 2.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 4.67 for Riga FC.

What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs Riga FC?

FK Tukums 2000 0-1 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs Riga FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 8%, draw 13%, Riga FC 79%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LET More Latvia - Virsliga
3 Aug 2025
18:00 Grobina vs Rigas Skola Analysis →
20:00 Auda vs Metta / LU Riga Analysis →