Riga FC 4-0 FK Tukums 2000 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Cup, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.16
Draw
20%
7.13
Away
26%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
82%
-28.5pp
20%
Draw
11%
+9.0pp
26%
Away Win
7%
+19.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 9%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +51% / +51%
2.33/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.27
-37% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +150%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
521 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
5W-0D-1L
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
4.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
3.56 xG 0.54
66% Ball Possession 34%
24 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
434 Passes 192
86% Pass Accuracy 68%
52 Box Touches 8
33 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.05.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 3-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
13.04.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-3 HT 0-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
27.10.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 10-1 HT 4-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
04.08.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-5 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
29.05.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 3-0 HT 2-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
16.04.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-1 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs FK Tukums 2000
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC cruised past FK Tukums 2000 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 4.17 goals for Riga FC and 0.50 for FK Tukums 2000.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs FK Tukums 2000?

Riga FC 4-0 FK Tukums 2000 in the Latvia - Cup on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs FK Tukums 2000?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 53%, draw 20%, FK Tukums 2000 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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