Riga FC 3-0 FK Tukums 2000 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 31 May 2025

📅31/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.11
Draw
21%
7.78
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.13
No
50%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
84%
-18.3pp
21%
Draw
9%
+11.4pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+7.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
43%
+7.5pp
50%
BTTS No
57%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +17%
2.78/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.41
+10% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -16%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
501 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 78%
45.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
31.6 Crosses 11.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
5W-0D-1L
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
4.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
3.51 xG 0.54
64% Ball Possession 36%
23 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
421 Passes 200
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
50 Box Touches 8
34 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-3 HT 0-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
27.10.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 10-1 HT 4-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
04.08.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-5 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
29.05.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 3-0 HT 2-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
16.04.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-1 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
06.10.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 4-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Riga FC
3-0
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
2.85 xG 0.36
66% Ball Possession 34%
29 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
472 Passes 190
88% Pass Accuracy 67%
49 Box Touches 5
28 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs FK Tukums 2000
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC cruised past FK Tukums 2000 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Riga FC had 66% of the ball to FK Tukums 2000's 34%, shots finished 29-7, expected goals 2.85 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 4.33 goals for Riga FC and 0.50 for FK Tukums 2000.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs FK Tukums 2000?

Riga FC 3-0 FK Tukums 2000 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs FK Tukums 2000?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 66%, draw 21%, FK Tukums 2000 13%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5
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31 May 2025
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