Riga FC 10-1 FK Tukums 2000 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.11
Draw
20%
8.11
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
85%
-20.9pp
20%
Draw
9%
+11.3pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +11%
2.58/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/2.28
+9% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -16%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
43.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
29.3 Crosses 9.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
5W-0D-1L
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
3.12 xG 0.45
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
433 Passes 223
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
50 Box Touches 8
31 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-5 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
29.05.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 3-0 HT 2-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
16.04.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-1 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
06.10.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 4-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
23.07.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-6 HT 0-3 Riga FC Riga FC LET
21.05.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 5-1 HT 2-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Riga FC
10-1
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
5.35 xG 0.41
64% Ball Possession 36%
29 Total Shots 5
15 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
356 Passes 162
84% Pass Accuracy 65%
63 Box Touches 6
37 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs FK Tukums 2000
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC cruised past FK Tukums 2000 10-1. Half-time: 4-1. 11 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 10-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Riga FC had 64% of the ball to FK Tukums 2000's 36%, shots finished 29-5, expected goals 5.35 to 0.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Riga FC and 0.50 for FK Tukums 2000.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs FK Tukums 2000?

Riga FC 10-1 FK Tukums 2000 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs FK Tukums 2000?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 64%, draw 20%, FK Tukums 2000 16%. The final score 10-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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